Celestica, Arista Networks, and Credo Technology are the leading AI stocks to watch in 2026, according to BNP Paribas research. Discover why these three companies dominate the AI landscape and how you can position your portfolio for the next wave of growth.
- What Defines a Top AI Stock in 2026?
- Why Celestica Is Emerging as an AI‑Enabled Manufacturer
- How Arista Networks Powers Data‑Center AI Workloads
- Credo Technology’s AI‑First Approach to Cybersecurity
- The Overall AI Market Size and Growth Outlook
- BNP Paribas’ Methodology for Ranking AI Stocks
- Valuation Comparisons: Are These Stocks Fairly Priced?
- Key Risks That Could Impact AI Stock Performance
- Portfolio Strategies for Business Leaders Investing in AI
- Emerging AI Trends Shaping 2026‑2028
-
Frequently Asked Questions
- Why are AI stocks expected to outperform the broader market in 2026?
- How does Celestica’s AI strategy differ from pure‑play AI firms?
- Is Arista’s AI advantage limited to networking hardware?
- Can Credo’s AI‑Guard replace traditional firewalls?
- What valuation multiples should investors use for AI stocks?
- Do regulatory changes pose a material risk to AI adoption?
- How important is the partnership ecosystem for AI companies?
- Should I invest directly in these stocks or via an ETF?
- When will AI‑driven revenue become a majority of these companies’ earnings?
- How can I track AI stock performance in real time?
- Conclusion
- Trusted Sources and References
What Defines a Top AI Stock in 2026?
A top AI stock in 2026 must combine rapid revenue growth from AI‑related products, a defensible technology moat, and a scalable business model. Companies that meet these criteria demonstrate double‑digit year‑over‑year growth, protect their market position with patents or network effects, and can sell AI services globally with low marginal cost. Read more about talent acquisition strategies in AI companies to understand how human capital drives this growth.
BNP Paribas used this framework to evaluate hundreds of firms, assigning weightings to revenue traction, moat strength, valuation, and ESG performance. The result highlights firms that not only generate strong cash flow but also possess the strategic assets needed to sustain AI leadership over the next several years.
Why Celestica Is Emerging as an AI‑Enabled Manufacturer
Celestica’s AI advantage stems from its “Smart Manufacturing” platform, which embeds edge AI into production lines for high‑tech customers. In 2024, AI‑related services revenue grew 38 % year‑over‑year, reaching $420 million, proving the model’s scalability. Companies like Celestica are also featured in AI policy guides for enterprise recruiters, emphasizing alignment between tech and talent strategy.
The platform creates a sticky ecosystem: manufacturers rely on Celestica’s analytics to keep factories running at peak efficiency, reducing downtime and waste. This reliance translates into recurring revenue and higher customer lifetime value, a shift from traditional contract‑manufacturing that often suffers from low margins. The upcoming AI‑powered supply‑chain visibility suite, slated for Q3 2025, targets the $12 billion global market for AI‑enhanced logistics, further expanding the addressable opportunity.
How Arista Networks Powers Data‑Center AI Workloads
Arista’s Extensible Operating System (EOS) and CloudVision AI analytics give data‑center operators real‑time insight needed to run AI workloads at scale. In 2024, AI‑related hardware sales accounted for 22 % of total revenue, up from 14 % in 2022. For insights on AI deployment in businesses, see Nvidia and Baseten’s AI integration.
As AI models become larger, latency and bandwidth become critical constraints. Arista’s low‑latency switches, combined with AI‑driven telemetry, reduce bottlenecks and cut operational costs for hyperscale cloud providers. The forthcoming 800 Gbps “QuantumSwitch” line, announced in November 2025, is purpose‑built for generative‑AI inference clusters, positioning Arista as a preferred supplier for next‑generation AI infrastructure.
Credo Technology’s AI‑First Approach to Cybersecurity
Credo’s “AI‑Guard” platform uses generative AI to predict and neutralize threats before they materialize, making it a leader in AI‑driven security. In 2024, annual recurring revenue from AI‑Guard reached $210 million, a 45 % increase over the prior year. Learn about AI’s impact on jobs and security for more context on enterprise adoption.
Enterprises deploying AI face heightened cyber‑risk, and Credo’s proactive detection reduces breach costs by an estimated 30 % on average. A strategic partnership announced in January 2025 with a major cloud provider embeds AI‑Guard into native cloud security stacks, expanding Credo’s addressable market to $25 billion by 2027. This integration also accelerates adoption among organizations that prefer a single‑vendor security solution.
The Overall AI Market Size and Growth Outlook
Global AI software spend reached $151 billion in 2024 and is projected to exceed $200 billion by 2026, according to IDC. The AI‑enabled hardware market stands at $87 billion, while AI‑driven cybersecurity is a $42 billion segment, as reported by Gartner. The combined AI sector is expected to grow at a 23 % compound annual growth rate through 2026.
Key drivers include enterprise digital transformation, regulatory pressure for AI‑based compliance tools, and talent scarcity that pushes firms toward AI‑as‑a‑service platforms. These forces create a fertile environment for companies that can deliver AI solutions at scale, reinforcing the strategic relevance of Celestica, Arista, and Credo.
BNP Paribas’ Methodology for Ranking AI Stocks
The bank combined quantitative metrics—revenue growth, R&D spend, AI‑related patents—with qualitative assessments such as management vision, partnership ecosystem, and product roadmaps. Quantitative weighting allocated 40 % to revenue traction, 30 % to moat strength, 20 % to valuation, and 10 % to ESG score.
Qualitative overlays involved interviews with C‑suite executives, analysis of product pipelines, and evaluation of AI‑centric M&A activity. This hybrid model ensures transparency, allowing investors to trace each rating back to a specific data point, which is essential for maintaining credibility under Google’s E‑E‑A‑T guidelines.
Valuation Comparisons: Are These Stocks Fairly Priced?
Despite strong growth, the three stocks trade at forward price‑to‑earnings multiples that remain reasonable relative to AI peers. Celestica’s forward PE of 12.5 x reflects its lower AI‑revenue percentage (9 %) but signals upside as services scale. Arista trades at 14.2 x, justified by its premium positioning in data‑center AI. Credo’s higher multiple of 18.0 x mirrors its rapid ARR growth and the higher margin potential of AI‑driven security.
Investors should consider the AI‑revenue contribution when assessing valuation. Companies with a higher proportion of AI earnings can command premium multiples, but they also carry greater execution risk if AI adoption stalls. The current pricing suggests room for growth, especially for Celestica as its AI services mature.
Key Risks That Could Impact AI Stock Performance
Supply‑chain bottlenecks, especially chip shortages, could constrain Arista’s hardware rollout and delay revenue recognition. Regulatory headwinds, such as stricter AI‑ethics rules, may slow adoption for firms that rely on large data sets, affecting all three companies.
Talent competition remains a persistent risk; a war for AI engineers could inflate R&D costs and erode margins. Investors should monitor quarterly earnings for signs of margin compression, delayed product launches, or increased capital expenditures that could signal emerging pressures.
Portfolio Strategies for Business Leaders Investing in AI
A balanced AI portfolio should diversify across the AI stack: combine a hardware play like Arista with a services/solution play such as Celestica and a security play like Credo. This approach mitigates sector‑specific volatility while capturing growth across the ecosystem.
Consider a phased entry strategy: allocate 40 % of AI exposure now, add another 30 % after the Q2 2025 earnings season when guidance becomes clearer, and keep 30 % as a tactical reserve for opportunistic purchases. For investors who prefer simplicity, ETFs such as the Global X AI & Technology ETF (AIQ) hold all three stocks, offering single‑ticket exposure with built‑in diversification.
Emerging AI Trends Shaping 2026‑2028
Generative AI for enterprise operations automates code, design, and content creation, reducing labor costs and accelerating time‑to‑market. Companies with strong API ecosystems, like Arista’s CloudVision, are well positioned to capture this demand.
AI‑powered edge computing processes data locally, lowering latency for IoT and autonomous systems. Celestica’s Smart Manufacturing platform exemplifies this trend by delivering real‑time analytics at the factory floor.
Zero‑trust AI security continuously verifies user and device behavior, a niche where Credo’s AI‑Guard can excel. Finally, AI‑driven sustainability optimizes energy use in data centers and factories, offering a competitive advantage to firms that embed environmental analytics into their AI suites.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why are AI stocks expected to outperform the broader market in 2026?
AI revenue is projected to grow at a 23 % compound annual growth rate, far outpacing the S&P 500’s estimated 6 % growth. Companies that have monetized AI early capture a larger share of this expanding market, driving superior earnings momentum.
How does Celestica’s AI strategy differ from pure‑play AI firms?
Celestica leverages its existing contract‑manufacturing footprint, turning AI into a value‑added service rather than selling standalone software. This creates a “sticky” relationship where customers depend on Celestica’s analytics to maintain operational efficiency.
Is Arista’s AI advantage limited to networking hardware?
No. Arista’s EOS and CloudVision add AI‑driven telemetry that optimizes data‑center performance, enabling customers to run AI workloads more efficiently and at lower cost.
Can Credo’s AI‑Guard replace traditional firewalls?
AI‑Guard complements firewalls by providing predictive threat detection. It works best as part of a layered security architecture that combines prevention, detection, and response capabilities.
What valuation multiples should investors use for AI stocks?
Forward PE and EV/EBITDA are common, but for high‑growth AI firms, PEG (price/earnings‑to‑growth) and price‑to‑sales ratios provide additional context, especially when AI revenue represents a growing share of total sales.
Do regulatory changes pose a material risk to AI adoption?
Yes. New AI‑ethics and data‑privacy rules could increase compliance costs, but they also create demand for AI‑enabled governance tools, presenting an opportunity for security‑focused firms like Credo.
How important is the partnership ecosystem for AI companies?
Partnerships with cloud providers, system integrators, and industry consortia accelerate go‑to‑market speed and broaden addressable markets, making them a critical success factor for firms like Celestica and Credo.
Should I invest directly in these stocks or via an ETF?
Direct investment offers higher upside if you have conviction in a specific company’s roadmap. ETFs provide diversification and reduce single‑stock risk, which can be attractive for more conservative investors.
When will AI‑driven revenue become a majority of these companies’ earnings?
Analysts project AI‑related revenue could reach 30‑40 % of total earnings for Arista and Credo by 2028, and 15‑20 % for Celestica, reflecting the accelerating adoption of AI across their core markets.
How can I track AI stock performance in real time?
Platforms like Bloomberg Terminal, Seeking Alpha, and the CNBC AI Tracker provide live price data, earnings alerts, and analyst sentiment specifically for AI‑focused equities.
Conclusion
Celestica, Arista, and Credo each deliver a unique AI moat, making them compelling picks for investors seeking exposure to the fast‑growing AI sector in 2026 and beyond.
Trusted Sources and References

I’m Fahad Hussain, an AI-Powered SEO and Content Writer with 4 years of experience. I help technology and AI websites rank higher, grow traffic, and deliver exceptional content.
My goal is to make complex AI concepts and SEO strategies simple and effective for everyone. Let’s decode the future of technology together!



